The populations have been as low as 278 whales and as high as 366
during the past decade. The overall population trend for the past 10
years for Cook Inlet beluga whales shows them not recovering and still
in decline at an annual average rate of 0.6 percent, indicating these
whales are still in danger of extinction in the foreseeable future.
Scientists from NOAA's Alaska Fisheries Science Center today announced that the 2012 abundance estimate for the endangered Cook Inlet beluga whale population is 312 animals, a small, but not scientifically significant increase over last year.
For scientists, the year-to-year changes in population estimates are less important than the long-term trend. Estimates can vary from year to year based on different sighting or survey conditions, weather, or changes in beluga behavior or distribution.
Scientists say this year's survey did have one unusual finding: whales venturing into relatively new waters.
"A group of belugas was observed just offshore of West Foreland swimming north into upper Cook Inlet. Beluga whales have not been observed in this area during our surveys since 2001," said Kim Shelden, a NOAA scientist and chief scientist on the survey. "This group of 12 to 21 whales then moved into Trading Bay where they remained for the duration of the survey, not far from the mouth of the McArthur River. Groups of this size have not been seen during our beluga whale surveys south of North Foreland since 1995."
Every June, scientists with NOAA's Alaska Fisheries Science Center conduct aerial surveys of Cook Inlet. From a small plane with bubble windows, scientists look for and count the beluga whales, and make video recordings of the whale groups. The video and observer counts are analyzed to produce the annual estimate.
Population estimates for the scope of the report are:
2003: 357
2004: 366
2005: 278
2006: 302
2007: 375
2008: 375
2009: 321
2010: 340
2011: 284
2012: 312
Cook Inlet beluga whales swimming as seen from a scientific survey plane at 800 feet. August 10. 2011. Credit: NOAA, permit #14245 |
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